Politics

Frontview Mirror: 2025 Edition

Thoughts on what might be an extremely turbulent year

Final Thoughts on the 2024 Election

Some last-minute analysis and possible outcomes for the upcoming US election

Framing is Everything

We're seeing reality through drastically different lenses, and living in different worlds because of it

Immigration and National/Racial Identity is Becoming the Top Global Security Issue

When culture wars create identity wars, we'll have predictable results in the form of authoritarianism and atrocity

The Left's Reaction to Israel/Hamas Has Positioned Trump as the Protector of the West

We on the left seem unable to stop kicking own-goals, and this latest one will probably get Trump elected

Thoughts on the Eliezer vs. Hotz AI Safety Debate

A summary of their arguments and the questions I wish they would have asked each other

ATHI — An AI Threat Modeling Framework for Policymakers

A framework for thinking about harms and impacts that can come from AI systems

Humiliation is Deadly

Exploring a Status Game model for understanding negative behavior

Our Problem is Gullibility, Not Disinformation

When it comes to bad information, we need to work on the vulnerability rather than the threat

5 Reasons to Expect Many More Public Shootings

My Current Thoughts on Israel

We have to be able to hold conflicting truths in our minds simultaneously

A Simple Technique for Successfully Debating the Ignorant

An Alternative View of the Israeli/Palestinian Conflict

We have to be able to hold multiple conflicting truths in our minds simultaneously

A Real Solution To The Israeli/Palestinian Conflict

Perhaps the only viable solution given the complexities of the situation